Implementation of The Logistic Regression Algorithm to Analyze Poverty Factors in Aceh Province
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.30871/jaic.v9i4.9715Keywords:
Aceh, Logistic regression, Multicollinearity, Poverty, PredictionAbstract
Aceh Province continues to face a high poverty rate despite its abundant natural resources. This study aims to analyze the factors influencing poverty status in Aceh Province by applying a binary logistic regression algorithm. The research specifically focuses on an inferential analytical approach to reveal significant relationships among socioeconomic variables. Secondary data were obtained from the Aceh Provincial Statistics Agency (Badan Pusat Statistik/BPS) for the period 2019–2023. Inferential analysis was conducted using the entire dataset through the statsmodels library to identify variables that are statistically significant to poverty status. In addition, a classification approach was implemented using scikit-learn, with a data split between training data (2019–2022) and testing data (2023), yielding an accuracy of 0.70, precision of 0.81, recall of 0.70, F1-score of 0.66, and AUC of 0.69. These findings provide empirical evidence that improving access to education and equitable infrastructure development in densely populated areas can serve as effective policy focuses in efforts to alleviate poverty in Aceh Province.
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