Modeling Infant Mortality Rate with Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline Approach
Abstract
The most important thing in human life is health, because of it is the rights of national foundation that should be fullfiled. This contains on Millenium Development Goals (MDGs) which had elapsed on December 2015, and was replaced by Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). SDGs in the aspect of Mother and Child’s Health mentioned in its third purpose namely: ensuring the health life and supporting welfare for all ages. Kota Gorontalo is the capital of Gorontalo Province which has become the center ofactivities either in the part of economics or all sectors including health development, as one of them is to reduce the Infant Mortality Rate. The Infant Mortality Rate can be defined as the number of babies who died since the birth phase until the approximately age of one year of babies in the area at a certain period, then divided with the total per 1000 successful birth in that year. This research is aimed to analyze the relationship between infant mortality and its affecting factors by using MARS Method. The result of this research showed that the best MARS MODEL is a combination of BF = 16, MI = 3, MO = 3, with with a GVC value of 0,732. Therefore, the variable that have significant effect towards infant mortality in Gorontalo City is the percentage of childbirth which was helped by the healthcare provider (X1), the percentage of giving Vitamin A to the babies (X5), the percentage of pregnant mother who received TT2(X7), the percentage of basic inclusive imunitation on babies (X4) and the percentage of babies which was given breast milk exclusively at the age of 0-5 months (X2).
Downloads
References
Eka P, A. (2012), Kesehatan Ibu dan Anak (KIA) dalam Millenium Development Goals (MDGs), Nuha Medika, Yogyakarta.
Hapsari, E.P, Ririn. (2015), Kertas Kajian SRHR dan Agenda 2030 (Memposisikan SRHR di seluruh bidang pembangunan berkelanjutan), Ruter WPF Indonesia, Jakarta Selatan.
Dinas Kesehatan (2014), Profil Kesehatan Provinsi Gorontalo Tahun 2014, Dinas Kesehatan Provinsi Gorontalo, Gorontalo.,Diakses 15 Januari 2017.
Friedman, J.H. 1991. Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines. The Annals of Statistics, Vol.19 No.1
Triwibowo, C dan Erlisya, P.M. (2015), KPengantar Dasar Ilmu Kesehatan Masyarakat, Nuha Medika, Yogyakarta.
BPS (2016), Statistik Daerah Provinsi Gorontalo Tahun 2016, BPS Kota Gorontalo, Gorontalo.,Diakses 15 Januari 2017.
Rahardjo, Setiyowati. (2006), Faktor-faktor yang berhubungan dengan Pemberian ASI Satu Jam Pertama Setelah Melahirkan, Jurnal Kesehatan Masyarakat Nasional Vol. 1, No. 1, Universitas Jenderal Sudirman. Purwokerto
Manutu, j., Korah, B.H., Pesak, E. (2013), Hubungan Pengetahuan Ibu dengan Pemberian Imunisasi Tetanus Toxoid di Puskesmas Rurukan Kecamatan Tomohon, Jurnal Ilmiah Bidan Vol. 1, No. 1.
Subarda, Hakim, M., dan Helmyati, S. (2011), Pelayanan Antenatal Care Dalam Pengelolaan Anemia Berhubungan dengan Kepatuhan Ibu Hamil mendapat Tablet Besi, Jurnal Gizi Klinik Indonesia Vol. 8, No. 1 juli 2011:7-13.
Nash, M.S. dan Bradford, D.F. 2001. Parametric and Non Parametric Logistic Regression for Prediction of Precense/Absence of an Amphibian. Las Vegas, Nevada
Friedman, J.H. dan Silverman, B.W. 1989. Flexible Parsimony Smoothing and Additive Modelling. Technometrics, 31
Kriner, M. (2007). Survival Analisis with Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines. Disertasi. Munchen University
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License (Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-SA 4.0) ) that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).
